el nino

[ideyboy]

just lately our press in the uk have been saying , as usual, our coming summer(fuck we still got 2 months of winter before spring)is going to be the hottest ever , they say el nino will arrive this year and totally fuck the wether systems , you no , hot hot weather and then nasty bastard storms , any of you boys heard about this

[halibutslayerII]

ENVIRONMENT
El Niño could make 2007 the hottest year
Scientists predicted that the global temperature this year will likely surpass the long-term average by the widest margin in recorded history.
BY RAPHAEL G. SATTER
Associated Press

LONDON - Deepening drought in Australia. Stronger typhoons in Asia. Floods in Latin America. British climate scientists predict that a resurgent El Niño climate trend combined with higher levels of greenhouse gases could touch off a fresh round of ecological disasters -- and make 2007 the world's hottest year on record.
''Even a moderate [El Niño] warming event is enough to push the global temperatures over the top,'' said Phil Jones, director of the Climatic Research unit at the University of East Anglia.
The warmest year on record was 1998, when the average global temperature was 1.2 degrees Fahrenheit higher than the long-term average of 57 degrees.
Though such a change appears small, incremental differences can, for example, add to the ferocity of storms by evaporating more steam off the ocean.
There is a 60 percent chance that the average global temperature for 2007 will match or break the record, Britain's Meteorological Office said Thursday. The consequences of the high temperatures could be felt worldwide.
El Niño, which is now under way in the Pacific Ocean and is expected to last until May, occurs irregularly. But when it does, winters in Southeast Asia tend to become milder, summers in Australia get drier, and Pacific storms can be more intense. The U.N.'s Food Aid Organization has warned that rising temperatures could wreak agricultural havoc.
In Australia, which is struggling through its worst drought on record, the impact on farmers could be devastating. The country has already registered its smallest wheat harvest in a decade, food prices are rising and severe water restrictions have put thousands of farmers at risk of bankruptcy.
In other cases, El Niño's effects are more ambiguous. Rains linked to the phenomenon led to bumper crops in Argentina in 1998, but floods elsewhere in Latin America devastated subsistence farmers.
El Niño also can do some good. It tends to take the punch out of the Atlantic hurricane season by generating crosswinds that can rip the storms apart -- good news for orange growers and others in Florida.
''The short-term effects of global warming on crop production are very uneven,'' said Daniel Hillel, a researcher at Columbia University's Center for Climate Systems Research. ``I warn against making definitive predictions regarding any one season's weather.''
What is clear is that the cumulative effect of El Niño and global warming are taking the Earth's temperatures to record heights.
''El Niño is an independent variable,'' Jones said. ``But the underlying trends in the warming of the Earth is almost certainly a result of the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.''
Another more immediate effect of the rising temperatures may be political.
Australian Prime Minister John Howard is already under fire for refusing to link his country's drought to global warming. In Britain, Friends of the Earth campaign director Mike Childs said the weather service's 2007 prediction ``underlined the gap between the government's rhetoric and action.''
Other environmental groups said the new report added weight to the movement to control greenhouse gases.
It came a day after the weather service reported that 2006 had been Britain's warmest year since 1659, and three months after Sir Nicholas Stern, a senior government economist, estimated that the effects of climate change could eventually cost nations 5 percent to 20 percent of global gross domestic product each year.
Figures for 2006 are not yet complete, but the weather service said temperatures were high enough to rank among the top 10 hottest years on record.
''The evidence that we're doing something very dangerous with the climate is now amassing,'' said Campaign against Climate Change coordinator Philip Thornhill.
''We need to put the energy and priority [into climate change] that is being put into a war effort,'' he said. ``It's a political struggle to get action done -- and these reports help.''

[frijolitos]

just prediction and yes it may be an el niño cycle, there is no way they can predict with any certainty what will happen. It is all based on computer variables on past data and some black majic thrown in. Great way to scare the public even more as too many people worry about shit we #1....cannot control and #2 won't probably affect my kids' kids kids....so why the fuck would I worry. sure my grandpa cared about my future, and even my dad, but I bet anybody older than great gramps didn't even think about how he could better the world for some punk that would be spawned way down the gentically defunct family tree. I hope you guys have a wondrfully temperate summer and the world just implodes one day and nobody has to suffer

[ideyboy]

so how does el nino affect you guys on the west coast

[Cory]

The pacific northwest would be drier in winter and the southwest would be wetter but a warmer winter.

Havent really seen any signs of that yet though. Seattle was hammered by rain several days in a row a month or so ago and we have only had a couple of fast moving storms come through here.

[Shawn Sadler]

Originally Posted by frijolitos

just prediction and yes it may be an el niño cycle, there is no way they can predict with any certainty what will happen. It is all based on computer variables on past data and some black majic thrown in. Great way to scare the public even more as too many people worry about shit we #1....cannot control and #2 won't probably affect my kids' kids kids....so why the fuck would I worry. sure my grandpa cared about my future, and even my dad, but I bet anybody older than great gramps didn't even think about how he could better the world for some punk that would be spawned way down the gentically defunct family tree. I hope you guys have a wondrfully temperate summer and the world just implodes one day and nobody has to suffer

Let it all out man, dont hold back.

[LTBOLTMAN]

NOAA is reporting el nino is suppose to last until May...busy finding all my fishing gear

[Jan from Humbol]

I hope he's dead wrong but with the increasing warming of the planet and evidence of increasing storm severity he's probably spot on.

One more thing, if you live in a real low area move soon.

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


Hurricane center chief issues final warning
A departing Max Mayfield is convinced that the Southeast is inviting disaster.
By Carol J. Williams, Times Staff Writer
January 3, 2007


MIAMI — Frustrated with people and politicians who refuse to listen or learn, National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield ends his 34-year government career today in search of a new platform for getting out his unwelcome message: Hurricane Katrina was nothing compared with the big one yet to come.

Mayfield, 58, leaves his high-profile job with the National Weather Service more convinced than ever that U.S. residents of the Southeast are risking unprecedented tragedy by continuing to build vulnerable homes in the tropical storm zone and failing to plan escape routes.

He pointed to southern Florida's 7 million coastal residents.

"We're eventually going to get a strong enough storm in a densely populated area to have a major disaster," he said. "I know people don't want to hear this, and I'm generally a very positive person, but we're setting ourselves up for this major disaster."

More than 1,300 deaths across the Gulf Coast were attributed to Hurricane Katrina, the worst human toll from a weather event in the United States since the 1920s.

But Mayfield warns that 10 times as many fatalities could occur in what he sees as an inevitable strike by a huge storm during the current highly active hurricane cycle, which is expected to last another 10 to 20 years.

His apocalyptic vision of thousands dead and millions homeless is a different side of the persona he established as head of the hurricane center.


Hurricane center chief issues final warning - Los Angeles Times

[Bottom Line]

All my selfish mind can think of is another dorado/tuna year like 1998!

[Double Z]

I've got a freezer that needs fill'n!

[Raz-n-Kane 27]

Originally Posted by Bottom Line

All my selfish mind can think of is another dorado/tuna year like 1998!

Fucken-A :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish :bablefish Lot`s And Lots Of Freezer fill-in Going to Happen!!!!

[CAPTRANDEL]

The el nino is forcast to weaken before summer and that may reduce the strength of any drought and lessen the heat a little,But it is only a forcast and can change many more times before summer. I hope we get a good run on the Albacore this year at least the seiners wont target them.